PaleoJet project: Last glacial to modern time changes in European hydroclimate and jet stream variability

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About the project


The PaleoJet project aims to understand the influence of changes in polar jet streams and atmospheric rivers carrying moisture on Europe's climate from the last ice age to the present day. Changes in these atmospheric phenomena can significantly alter precipitation amounts and distribution, sometimes causing extreme droughts or floods. The project will reconstruct how precipitation changed seasonally and regionally in Europe thousands of years ago by studying the tiny growth zones of ancient snail shells and microscopic water inclusions in caves (speleothems).

The research team is producing detailed maps of Europe, indicating how the isotopic composition of precipitation has changed in Europe and Asia Minor over the past century. These maps reveal the influence of changes in the polar jet stream on precipitation distribution and source regions across Europe. Finally, we use advanced climate models to examine the behaviour of the polar jet stream and the physical processes connecting atmospheric rivers to long-range weather patterns.

Overall, the project improves our understanding of what causes wet and dry periods in Europe, and of how future climate change may affect precipitation. This knowledge is vital for safeguarding ecosystems, managing water resources and preparing for extreme weather events. The results will support climate change adaptation in line with UN Sustainable Development Goal 13 (Climate Action) and help agriculture and water management professionals and policymakers prepare for a changing climate.

News


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Coming soon...

March 2026

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Publications


Preliminary publications underpinning the project

Coupled European and Greenland last glacial dust activity driven by North Atlantic climate

Újvári, G., Stevens, T., Molnár, M., Demény, A., Lambert,. F. et al. (2017). PNAS 114, E10632-E10638

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Stadial-interstadial temperature and aridity variations in East Central Europe preceding the Last Glacial Maximum

Újvári, G., Bernasconi, S. M., Stevens, T., Kele, S. et al. (2021). Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology 36, e2020PA004170

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Changes in atmospheric dynamics over Dansgaard-Oeschger climate oscillations around 40 ka and their impact on Europe

Stadelmaier, K. H., Ludwig, P., Pinto, J. G., Újvári, G. (2024). Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 129, e2023JD040247

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Land snail Δ47 thermometry using cultured and European natural populations of Clausilia pumila, Succinella oblonga and Trochulus hispidus

Újvári, G., Rinyu, L., Sulikowska-Drozd, A., Páll-Gergely, B., Bernasconi, S.M. (2024). Chemical Geology 670, 122461

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Recrystallization-induced oxygen isotope changes in inclusion-hosted water of speleothems – Paleoclimatological implications.

Demény, A., Czuppon, Gy., Kern, Z. et al. (2016). Quaternary International 415, 25–32

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Paleotemperature Reconstructions Using Speleothem Fluid Inclusion Analyses From Hungary

Demény, A., Rinyu, L., Kern, Z., Hatvani, I.G., Czuppon, Gy. et al. (2021). Chemical Geology 563, 120051

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Predicting the spatial distribution of stable isotopes in precipitation using a machine learning approach: a comparative assessment of random forest variants

Erdélyi D., Nyitrai T., Kern Z., Hatvani I. G. (2023). International Journal on Geomathematics 14, 14

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The SISAL webApp: exploring the speleothem climate and environmental archives of the world

Hatvani, I. G., Kern, Z., Tanos, P., Wilhelm, M., Lechleitner, F. A., Kaushal, N. (2024). Quaternary Research 118, 211–217

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Ismeretterjesztés


MTA News

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Az észak-atlanti klímaváltozások hatása a Kárpát-medencére az utolsó eljegesedéskor

December 2017

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HUN-REN News

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A CSFK vezetésével nemzetközi kutatócsoport vizsgálta a Kárpát-medence déli részén az utolsó jégkorszak őshőmérsékleti és csapadékviszonyait

Szeptember 2021

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Magyar Nemzet

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Időjárás-jelentés csigahéjakból

Október 2021

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Project participants


Germany

Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Troposphere Research

Az intézmény weboldala

Patrick Ludwig

PhD, csoportvezető

Saját weboldal

Kim. H. Stadelmaier

PhD

Saját weboldal

Hungary

HUN-REN Research Centre for Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Institute for Gological and Geochemical Research

Gábor Újvári

DSc, PI

Saját weboldal

Attila Demény

DSc, az MTA rendes tagja

Saját weboldal

Zoltán Kern

DSc, Paleoklíma 2ka Lendület csoportvezető

Saját weboldal

István Gábor Hatvani

DSc, igazgató

Saját weboldal

Dániel Topál

PhD, posztdoktor

Saját weboldal

Dániel Erdélyi

PhD, posztdoktor

Saját weboldal


HUN-REN Centre for Agricultural Research

Barna Páll-Gergely

PhD

Saját weboldal


HUN-REN Institute for Nuclear Research

Mihály Molnár

PhD, 14C laborvezető

Saját weboldal

László Rinyu

PhD, Δ47 laborvezető

Saját weboldal